Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004151 0.004556 0.004991 0.005495 0.006063 0.006687 0.007425
2025-08-31 0.003383 0.003925 0.004548 0.005326 0.006275 0.007407 0.008874
2025-09-07 0.003003 0.003612 0.004347 0.005309 0.006550 0.008122 0.010296
2025-09-14 0.002808 0.003480 0.004322 0.005473 0.007031 0.009109 0.012160
2025-09-21 0.002551 0.003236 0.004119 0.005367 0.007123 0.009566 0.013336
2025-09-28 0.002342 0.003030 0.003941 0.005266 0.007193 0.009980 0.014482
2025-10-05 0.002199 0.002898 0.003846 0.005263 0.007392 0.010588 0.015987
2025-10-12 0.002109 0.002829 0.003829 0.005364 0.007747 0.011459 0.018027
2025-10-19 0.001980 0.002694 0.003705 0.005293 0.007823 0.011893 0.019383
2025-10-26 0.001880 0.002594 0.003623 0.005275 0.007977 0.012463 0.021053
2025-11-02 0.001774 0.002477 0.003508 0.005193 0.008016 0.012835 0.022404
2025-11-09 0.001711 0.002421 0.003478 0.005243 0.008275 0.013614 0.024654
2025-11-16 0.001626 0.002328 0.003391 0.005199 0.008380 0.014151 0.026561
2025-11-23 0.001522 0.002201 0.003242 0.005043 0.008276 0.014291 0.027673
2025-11-30 0.001458 0.002131 0.003180 0.005027 0.008420 0.014921 0.029967
2025-12-07 0.001433 0.002122 0.003215 0.005181 0.008893 0.016259 0.034155
2025-12-14 0.001361 0.002033 0.003112 0.005082 0.008873 0.016582 0.035965
2025-12-21 0.001295 0.001952 0.003016 0.004987 0.008851 0.016896 0.037818
2025-12-28 0.001251 0.001902 0.002972 0.004984 0.009011 0.017625 0.040919
2026-01-04 0.001227 0.001884 0.002980 0.005079 0.009379 0.018869 0.045728
2026-01-11 0.001177 0.001821 0.002907 0.005012 0.009400 0.019313 0.048350
2026-01-18 0.001138 0.001776 0.002861 0.004995 0.009528 0.020026 0.051960
2026-01-25 0.001093 0.001717 0.002788 0.004919 0.009517 0.020398 0.054592